Greg Smith, a senior manager at Goldman Sachs, has very publicly accused the company
of abandoning its customer-focused ideals and merely following
short-term profit. That should not be a surprise: this shift in values
is occurring throughout the financial industry, and indeed throughout
American society. In fact, it is deliberately driven by a pervasive
mindset that emphasizes rational individualism, laissez-faire
markets, and the use of incentives through “pay for performance.” But
the answer as simple as Mr. Smith suggests: going back to the old
culture is probably not an option that anyone would like, either.
Thirty
years ago in large corporations pay was mainly determined by
organizational level rather than by short-term performance. The real
rewards lay in promotion, and promotion required building a network of
supporters. Indeed, the higher you rose, the more important it was to be
on good terms with a range of people and to show a wide scope of
achievements. Your entire history followed you and shaped your career.
Thus the kind of “short-termism” that Smith decries was considerably
less common.
That
kind of corporate culture lasted for over half a century, into the
1980s. Why has it declined? Initially it declined because there was a
serious downside: it blocked major change at a time when change became
essential. The consensual approach locked in place established players
and ways of doing business. This became a problem in the late 70s and
80s as the landscape of business began to change fundamentally. First
there was the expansion of markets, with a raft of new global players
entering many industries and sharply increasing the level of
competition. Corporate profits declined markedly. Then there was an
acceleration of technological innovation, driven by computing
capabilities. Finally, there was a growing awareness of a deep shift in
the nature of value. Success in the twentieth century depended on the
ability to produce and distribute reliably on a large scale; success
since the turn of the twenty-first has been increasingly dependent on
the ability to apply knowledge to emerging problems. The kinds of
organization and culture needed for the first don’t work in the second.
The best organizations of the past were stable bureaucracies that could
maintain consistency and control across a large production process; the
best ones now are are fluid, team-based systems that can rapidly bring
together diverse specialists around new challenges. Increasingly
companies are fleeing the first because the profit margins are
shrinking, and seeking the second where profits are larger.
This
transformation requires breaking crockery: closing unsuccessful
businesses, reorganizing, changing strategies, encouraging different
skills. Long-term performance no longer seems so relevant, because what
brought success in the past might not do so in the future. Thus in that
period companies began to seek leaders who were “not afraid to make the
tough decisions.” You can’t get such leaders through internal growth and
consensus, and you can’t motivate them through the promise of long-term
promotion. Thence the rise of objective numerical targets: if you raise
profitability x% you will get a big reward, even if people don’t like you.
In
other words, there was a deliberate and sustained effort to break the
old corporate culture because it was not suited to emerging the demands
of business. Short-term rewards based on objective measures make
complete sense for that purpose.
The
pay-for-performance mantra is further reinforced because it fits with a
comprehensive ideology or world-view: the classical economic claim that
rational individuals, interacting in markets, will create the greatest
good for all. This powerful idea, going back at least to Adam Smith,
suggests that it is not necessary for people to think of the good of
others, or of the system. Things work best, in this view, when people
just focus on their own concerns and don’t try to meddle in or
understand those of others. If they do that consistently, the
“invisible hand” of the market will balance supply and demand, ensure
that the right products are made to meet all needs, and everyone will do
well. From this perspective giving people money for achieving key goals
is seen as just an extension of this broad appeal to rational
individualism.
There
is just one major problem with this: the theory of the invisible hand,
especially when applied to organizations and societies, is deeply,
profoundly wrong. If everyone merely pursues
rational self-interest, the result will be cynical, manipulative
behavior that leads to mutual undercutting and periodic crises. This is
what’s known in game theory as the “prisoner’s dilemma”: when people can
trust each other, they can often find ways to achieve mutual gains; but
when they have no basis for trust, they will seek short-term personal
gains – and in doing, undercut each other and make things worse for
everyone.
Culture
is important because it makes trust possible: it is a framework that
gives us reason to believe that others will act constructively, not just
in their own narrow self-interest. When you destroy the web of
relations and shared values that is the basis of culture, you trigger
self-reinforcing cycles of mistrust. And that is exactly what is
happening at Goldman Sachs, at many companies, and to a considerable
extent in our entire society.
Sometimes
culture needs to be broken. Culture can sustain orders that are unjust
and inefficient. But if it is broken, it needs to be rebuilt. The pay
for performance fad, and the exaggerated emphasis on incentives and
individualism in general, are effective at breaking culture, but they
are not good at making it.
I
don’t know about Goldman Sachs, whether the old culture would have
worked in today’s environment. I do know that at many companies cultural
destruction was absolutely necessary. IBM before 1991 had a culture
that was customer-focused, supportive of employees, ethical – but also
slow, bureaucratic, conflict-averse, tolerant of inefficiency. It almost
died of it. But rather than falling back primarily on short-term
incentives, it has rebuilt with a culture that tends much more towards
flexibility and responsiveness. Culture building is slow and uncertain,
and neither IBM nor anyone else has entirely filled in a set of
relations and values that really meet the needs of a knowledge economy,
that provide both efficiency and justice; but it and companies like it
are doing better than the ones that have relied on individual stars and
powerful monetary incentives.
Mr.
Smith, in other words, has identified a serious problem at Goldman
Sachs. But it’s a bigger one than he realizes – because the solution is
almost certainly not to go back to the “old” culture which he so clearly
admires. The task is to define and build a new one.
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